Numbers are confusing. At one point, they were reporting 150 dead
in Mexico.
Lies Dammed Lies and Statistics.
On CNN they had a talking head from the who that was saying oh it’s
all an overblown mistake, there are over a thousand cases who had it
and only 6 dead.
Like everything it depends how you measure it…
Over a thousand dead and 138 dead (which were the numbers when I
looked it up) based on clinical diagnosis in Hospitals
Or 38 Sick with it and 6 dead based on laboratory confirmed
diagnoses.
What the talking head was doing was mixing data from 2 different
datasets… a big no no, thus a lie.
But even the first of over a thousand and 138 is a lie too if we are
looking at pure mortality rate in the population… These numbers
are from reported cases in hospitals, Mexico has no reporting system
for all the mild cases that never made it to the hospital… So the
mortality rate only reflects those sick enough to go to the hospital.
The cases reported in Canada and the US so far have been ALL cases.
The true mortality rate is probably similar to that of the regular
flu. Also the only US mortality was a very sick Mexican girl whose
parents rushed her into Texas hoping the US hospital could save
her… and thus should properly be counted as a Mexican mortality not
a US one.
now that you have all let out a big breath and thought , remember
the 1918 pandemic came in multiple waves, the first wave was mild and
had a very low mortality rate and had run it’s course when a second
wave appeared. That one was the killer. What happened?? It is
theorized, since we don’t have viral samples from both waves that are
identified, first that a mild H1N1 flu went pandemic and then there
was a mutation the was significant enough to make the original virus
no longer be recognizable to the human body’s immune system. Thus the
immunity from the first infection did not help. Secondly the mutation
made it a much nastier bug that instead of attacking the upper
respiratory tract as most flu bugs do, it started attacking inside
the lungs at the level of the alveoli provoking the body’s massive
immune response which is what actually killed the people.
So what can we learn from all this, In my opinion?
First be moderate, if one or two Talking heads are screaming about
the end of the world relax, if 99% are then worry. Unfortunately
Between the 24 hour news channels now (BBC, CNN, MSNBC, FOX, CBC
News world, and Al Jazeera) the louder and more radical one is, the
more coverage they seem to get, So volume is no indicator of
legitimacy or knowledge. Second, If the person is saying something
like “oh it’s going to be the end of the world, unless you give me
lots of money to save it”. Recognize it for what it is, a money and
power grab. Third, Enjoy life. Worry about the things that are
important and don’t sweat the small stuff. Which is more important or
dangerous… Dying from the flu or dying from being struck by a
vehicle… Check the mortality rates. The car is a greater danger to
you than a bug. But even more important is to tell and show your
family you love them.
Kay
PS I refer to them as talking heads because that’s all they seem to
show on the TV is the head and often it seems as if it’s just an
empty inflated head with no brain but a very high opinion of their
beliefs…